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Analyst predictions

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Analyst predictions and forecasts for the Seventh generation of video games which includes the Wii, Xbox 360, Playstation 3, Playstation Portable, and Nintendo DS.
ProjectedConsoleChart v1 460x323
IDC:PS3 outsells Wii in 2012 in NPD Console sales (May 2008)
W3stfa11Added by W3stfa11

See Graphs at bottom of page.

2010Edit

See also: Eighth generation of video games
We believe Nintendo needs to cut the price of their console from $200 to $150 immediately, as they should establish as meaningful of an installed base as possible before the Natal and Arc are introduced.
It expects that PS3's global lifetime sales will reach 127 million, compared to its prediction of 103 million Wii units. Wii sales are now falling, particularly in mature markets, and its installed base will peak in 2011. Ownership of both the PS3 and the Xbox 360 will hit their highest points between 2012 and 2014


2009Edit

See also: Eighth generation of video games
2009: PS3 (4m), X360 (4.25), Wii (8m)
2010: PS3 (4.5m), X360 (4m), Wii (6m)
By 2014 Venture Beat predicts that Wii will have sold 154m units globally. it also predicts that PS3 is destined to finish third in the current next-gen race.
Sony is confident the PlayStation 3 will ultimately sell more consoles than the Xbox 360, slamming Microsoft for making consoles that only last in the market for four or five years, while Sony's stay strong for ten years.

2008Edit

the PSP will see a resurgence and end up selling over 70 million units worldwide by 2012. DFC Intelligence forecasts that the Wii will end up outselling the PlayStation 3 by a ratio of 2 to 1
"The Wii does not appear to be a fad and it has the chance to be one of the best selling systems of all-time. global videogame and interactive entertainment market will hit $57 billion in 2009
By 2011, more than 180 million consoles sold. PS3 to surpass 360 in 2009. Software sales for the PlayStation 3 will surpass software sales for the Wii in 2012 when software sales are already on the decline.
Pidgeon suggested that by 2012, the PS3 will lead the pack, with more than 107 million units sold worldwide, while the Wii will be just behind, at nearly 107 million units.
DFC Intelligence now forecasts that (in Europe), over the next five years, sales of the Wii will out pace both the Xbox 360 and the PlayStation 3.
Raised 2008 US Wii sales estimates from 6.5 million to 8.5 million units, and PS3 sales from 4.5 million to 4.7 million and boosted 2008 DS estimates from 5.9 million to 6.4 million and PS2 from 2.5 million to 3 million. He reiterated his Xbox 360 sales forecast of 4.8 million during the year and PSP sales of 3.8 million.

2007Edit

Screen digest 2011 forecast
Screen Digest forecast made in Dec. 2007
W3stfa11Added by W3stfa11
In 2010 worldwide: PS3 - 62m, X360 - 46m, Wii - 25m
Home & Little Big Planet, Free Online, 50 GB games, Casino Royale, HDMI, Standard HDD, The Wii Fad Will Fade, Major CPU Advantage, PS2 still outselling 360, Something For Everyone

2006Edit

The report predicts that Sony will sell 121.8 million PS3s worldwide through 2012. Sales of Xbox 360s are expected to reach 58.8 million and of Nintendo's Revolution nearly 23 million. Cumulative retail revenues for all consoles over this period will exceed $47bn.
Worldwide: Xbox 360: 39%; PS3: 34%; Wii: 27%;
Total Through 2008 (US) 360 - 15.5 million & PS3 - 13.5 million & Wii - 6.8 million & 17.6 million for PSP, and 20 million for DS
there will be big sales for the Wii from the very beginning. I feel this growth will slow a little from the third year, but altogether the sales will exceed 10 million units. He expects the PS3 to rack up total sales of between 9 and 10 million consoles by 2010 and the Xbox 360 to lag behind with 1 to 2 million.
...distinct possibility the PlayStation 3 could end up third in market share behind both the Xbox 360 and Nintendo Wii. The big problem with the PlayStation 3 is price... 1) Sony's hands may be tied in regard to price cuts and 2) Sony drastically underestimated the competition
Xbox 360 will hold its lead and edge out the PlayStation 3 in the U.S. selling an estimated 8 million units in 2008 compared with 7.1 million PlayStation 3s in that year (for a grand total of 19.8 million since launch vs. 11 million, respectively). Nintendo to have sold 3.9 million Revolution systems by 2008.
Through 2010, the Sony PS3 will account for just over 50% of the installed base of next-generation consoles, while the Microsoft Xbox 360 will have 28.6%, and the Nintendo Revolution will have 21.2%, the high-tech market research firm says.
PS3 will sell 71 million units by 2011 compared with an estimated 40 million units for Wii.

2005Edit

In 2010, Sony's going to have 55 per cent, Microsoft's going to have 35 per cent and Nintendo 10 per cent
HW Units in Millions     2005   2006    2007    2008
PS3                           0      1       6     8.5
XBX 360                     1.1      6     6.5       6
REVOLUTION                    0    0.5       2       3
PS3 surpassing Microsoft’s market lead at the end of 2007 and rising to almost 60% market share by 2012. Ending 2012, PS3 - 121.8 million unit sales, xbox360 - 59.7 million sales, Wii will continue Nintendo’s downward home console spiral with a miserable 23.3 million units.
I think that there is a good chance that Nintendo will pull this off and may even end up as the best selling console of this next generation. The Revolution's success will likely mirror how the DS has succeeded in the market. Good games will determine success.
We believe Sony PS3 will be the strongest seller of next-generation video game consoles. However, Microsoft's Xbox 360 will narrow the gap with Sony to come within 28 per cent of the PS3 installed base -- selling almost twice as many next-gen consoles as Nintendo Revolution by 2010.

2004Edit

2003Edit

2002Edit

GraphsEdit

See also: :Category:Charts

External linksEdit

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